The Group’s risk level integrated evaluation is performed with a bottom-up model named Cash Flow at Risk, which provides the evaluation of the uncertainty associated with the EBITDA value ( or other values such as the FCF- Free Cash Flow) as well as the effectiveness of the hedging strategies applied.
A complementary top-down model is used, based on the share price evolution and on the beta values forecasts for each business unit, aiming at the risk evaluation of assets and equity as well as benchmarking with other utilities.
Energy Management
This activity systematically monitors the margin at risk value of EDP’s positions on fuels, CO2 emission allowances and electricity, comparing it to previously established risk limits and adjusting it if necessary. This is done by means of a model called MUR+ (Model for a Unified Risk) and applied to the Iberian businesses.
Comercial Services
EDP assesses liberalized client market risk in a systematic and integrated way, by means of the Cash Flow at Risk evaluation, taking into account demand profiles and market price volatility and also offsetting positions through EDP’s generation and gas supply contracts. The results are input into price and maturity definitions, used for new or renewed contracts, and for margin hedging.